Matt Hare

Social-Ecological Systems Modeller
Information and Computational Sciences
T: +44 (0)344 928 5428 (*)

I am a Senior Researcher working in the application areas of :

  • Policy modelling (and the identification of unintended policy outcomes)
  • Habitat restoration - Carbon sequestration - Biodiversity offsetting
  • Natural capital accounting and investment vehicles,
  • Community-and ecosystem-based climate change adaptation, and
  • Food systems.

I do this work, at my desk and - most happily - in the field, by developing and applying novel techniques for:

  • understanding and visualising emergent behaviour in complex systems 
  • participatory, conceptual systems modelling
  • agent-based modelling,
  • action research, and
  • policy analysis (where I can spend a lot of time exploring the minutiae of policy and environmental standards documents and loop-hole hunting).

I am also getting very interested in scientometrics and its application to policy analysis, open science and the science-policy interface.

Upcoming events where you can hear more about my work

RGS-IBG Annual International Conference 2023: Participatory systems modelling to explore the systemic drivers of the deterioration of food system resilience at different spatial scales: A study of rapid transition from rural to peri-urban livelihoods and food insecurity, September 2nd 2023, London (Co-author: Ana Pena del Valle)

ESSA’s Social Simulation Conference 2023 where I shall be presenting the paper: Barriers and Model Curation Issues Associated with Rapid Adaptation of Empirical Legacy ABM in Response to Urgent Policy Maker Queries (Authors: Hare, M.P., Roxburgh, N., Salt, D., Polhill G.) September 4-8, 2023

Systems@Hutton Seminar Series – The Impacts of large-scale “black-hole” systems modelling and successful media impact campaigns on the accumulation of scientific knowledge on the 11th October, 2023, 1-2pm, Macaulay B Suite, The James Hutton Institute(Co-author: Ana Pena del Valle)

Current projects

  • EPSRC – Exascale Agent-based Modelling for PoLicy Evaluation in Real-time (ExAMPLER)
    • I am responsible for the participatory systems modelling being undertaken with social simulation scientists to better understand potential benefits of and barriers to exascale computing for next-generation ABM social simulation.
    • Our first participatory systems modelling workshop will be held at ESSA’s Social Simulation Conference 2023 in Glasgow.
  • RESAS JHI D4-4 Habitat Management and Restoration (2022 – 2027)
    • I lead Work Package 1 – Mapping the flows of multiple benefits and risks associated with woodland restoration 
  • RESAS JHI C5 Integrated socio-environmental modelling of policy scenarios for Scotland (2022 – 2027)
    • I lead Work Package 5 – Mediated modelling for rapid-response policy requests
    • You can find out more at ESSA’s Social Simulation Conference 2023 where I shall be presenting the paper: Barriers and Model Curation Issues Associated with Rapid Adaptation of Empirical Legacy ABM in Response to Urgent Policy Maker Queries (Authors: Hare, M.P., Roxburgh, N., Salt, D., Polhill G.)
  • RESAS JHI B4-1 Increasing fruit and vegetable production for sustainable, healthy, affordable diets and secure jobs (22 – 27)
    • I am currently analysing corporate/NGO interlocking within trustee and non-executive boards in Scottish NGOs that focus on food sustainability.
  • European Social Simulation Association Summer School 2023 (28th August – 1st September)
    • The theme this year is Agent-Based Modelling for Wicked Problems – applications are now closed!

Recent projects

  • Land-based carbon sequestration options for residual emissions off-setting. (2021-22) Commercial Contract.
  • Peatland restoration for improved water supply in the drinks sector. (2020-22) Commercial contract.
  • Moderating extremes in water availability in Scotland: a review of the role of functioning wetlands. (2020-2022). Scotland’s Centre of Expertise for Waters, CREW.
  • Peatland restoration and potential emssions savings on agricultural land: an evidence assessment (2021). ClimateXChange.
  • Opportunities and Challenges of Controlled Environment Agriculture (CEA) in future food system sustainability. (2019-2020). Hutton Seedcorn Fund
  • Socio-ecological modelling as a support for community- and ecosystems-based adaptation towards sustainability and wellbeing. (2017-2020) MDT Research Fellowship in Socio-Ecological Systems Modelling. Including research in:
    • Upscaling participatory systems modelling processes for the development of the PACMUBIS Climate Action Programme for Wellbeing and Sustainability (2017-2018). Co funded by the Municipality of Tlajomulco de Zuñiga, Mexico.
    • Agent-based modelling of the impacts of different policy levers on the efficacy of UK Biodiversity Offsetting approaches.
    • Exploring the potential impact of model artefacts in Verra’s Verfied Carbon Standards (VCS) on the estimation of carbon emissions savings from REDD+ forestry projects.  
    • Foraging as an adaptive capacity in times of extreme crisis – surveying the availability of wild, edible plants in interstitial green spaces in central Mexico City.

Career path

I have worked here before. From 1994 – 1998, at what was then called the Macaulay Land Use Research Institute, I did my PhD on the use of symbolic artificial intelligence, machine learning and agent-based simulation approaches for the automated compositional modelling and comparison of different theoretical models of Red Grouse population dynamics and management. I not only got my first bit of field work out in the the glens of Invercauld, I also got to visit the Santa Fe Institute back in its arguably wilder, pioneering days of artificial life and complex systems research.

Before that, I had gained my bachelor degree in Artifcial Intelligence and Computing at Sussex University which saw me building my first Agent-Based Model as part of my undergrad thesis around about 1990. For those with long memories it was a re-implementation of the Asgard ABM of nomadic and settler behaviour across a heterogeneous landscape using genetic algorithms that had been developed by Sannier and Goodman (1987) for J. J. Grefenstette’s book on Genetic Algorithms and their Applications. Following that, I worked at City University on human-computer interface design for intelligent information retrieval. Back in the 90’s we thought that getting a machine to automatically complete your search queries was unnecessary meddling in the autonomy of the user! How times change…

My post-doc was took place at the Swiss Federal Institute of Aquatic Science and Technology (EAWAG-ETH), using participatory (agent-based) modelling techniques to support decision-makers to develop strategies for sustainably managing urban water supplies.

Following this, I moved to Germany to co-found a start-up enterprise, Seeconsult GmbH, which provided consultancy, research and training support to organizations interested in implementing participatory water resources management in different river basins across Europe, as part of Article 14 obligations of the EU Water Framework Directive. During this time, I worked with stakeholders in river basins across Europe from Scotland in the west to Bulgaria in the East.

In 2008, I took up a job as Senior Programme Officer at the capacity development wing (UNW-DPC) of the UN-Water Decade Programme based at the United Nations in Bonn, Germany. This was to support the implementation of UN capacity development activities seeking to promote, among other things, climate-related adaptive water resources management in developing countries.

After this, from 2010 to 2017, I lived and worked in Mexico, providing technical support aimed at the implementation and evaluation of community- and ecosystems-based climate change adaptation projects. I have worked on contract for the Mexican Government and with communities across Mexico.

Between 2011 and 2013, I also coordinated the EU FP7 CATALYST project (grant no. 283177) entitled “Capacity Development for Hazard Risk Reduction and Adaptation”. I have worked in EU research programmes since Framework 3 in the early 90s!

I returned to the James Hutton Institute in 2017 where, until 2020, I held the post of Macaulay Development Trust Research Fellow in Socio-Ecological Systems Modelling. One of the highlights was working on the upscaling of participatory systems modelling processes to support the development of a municipality-wide bottom-up plan for climate action for the municipality of Tla

 

Journals

Prior to appointment

Technical / contract reports

  • Artz, R.R.E; Coyle, M.; Donaldson-Selby, G.; Cooksley, S.; Gimona, A.; Pakeman, R.; Hare, M. (2023) A Working Paper Scoping a National Peatland Monitoring Framework, ClimateXChange Scotland website.
  • Hare, M.; McBride, A.; Addy, S.; Pakeman, R.; Donaldson-Selby, G.; Rivington, M.; Gagkas, Z.; Jabloun, M.; Lilly, A.; Wilkinson, M.; Akoumianaki, I. (2022) Moderating extremes in water availability in Scotland a review of the role of functioning wetlands, CREW report.
  • Aitkenhead, M.; Castellazzi, M.; McKeen, M.; Hare, M.; Artz, R.; Reed, M. (2021) Peatland restoration and potential emissions savings on agricultural land: an evidence assessment, ClimateXChange.
  • Hare, M.P.; Helliwell, R.C.; Ferrier, R.C. (eds) (2020) Exploring Scotland’s resilience to drought and low flow conditions. Full report., World Water Day, 22 March 2019. CREW and Hydro Nation International Report, 24pp.
  • Hare, M.P.; Helliwell, R.C.; Ferrier, R.C. (eds) (2020) Exploring Scotland’s resilience to drought and low flow conditions, Short report., World Water Day, 22 March 2019. CREW and Hydro Nation International Report.
  • Uribe Camacho, A.; León Corrales, M.A.; López Gijón, G.; Peña del Valle Isla, A.; Hare, M.P.; Torres González, L.G.; Davydova Belitskaya, V.; Garza Galicia, A.; Gallegos, P.; Cruz Barboza, J. (2018) PACMUBIS – Programa de Acción Climática Municipal para el Bienestar y la Sustentabilidad para el Municipio de Tlajomulco de Zúñiga, Jalisco
    (PACMUBIS – Municipal Programme on Climate Action for Wellbeing and Sustainability for the Municipality of Tlajomulco de Zúñiga, Jalisco), Municipality of Tlajomulco de Zúñiga, Jalisco, Mexico, Planning Report, December 2018, 320pp.

Conference papers

Conference posters / abstracts

  • Heppenstall, A.; Polhill, G.; Batty, M.; Salt, D.; Milton, R.; Hare, M.; Colasanti, R. (2024) Using HPC to model policy scenarios with agent-based models, Durham HPC Days 2024, 7-10 May 2024, Durham University, Department of Computer Science, Durham, UK
  • Roxburgh, N.; Polhill, G.; Gimona, A.; Hare, M.; Baggaley, N.; McCormick, B.; Macleod, K.; Rivington, M. (2023) Integrated socio-environmental modelling of policy scenarios, Conference poster.
  • Polhill, G.; Heppenstall, A.; Batty, M.; Hare, M.; Salt, D.; Milton, R. (2023) Exascale agentbased modelling for policy evaluation in realtime (ExAMPLER), Social Simulation Conference 2023, University of Glasgow, UK, 4-8 September.
  • Pena Del Valle Isla, A.; Hare, M.; Perez Pena, O. (2023) Participatory systems modelling to explore the systemic drivers of the deterioration of food system resilience at different spatial scales: A study of rapid transition from rural to periurban livelihoods and food insecurity, Session on “Building and conceptualising resilient food systems for a climate changed world”, RGS-IBG Conference, 29 August – 1 September 2023, London
  • Polhill, G.; Baggaley, N.; Castellazzi, M.; Gimona, A.; Hare, M.; Ibiyemi, A.; Lilly, A.; Loades, K.; Macdiarmid, J.; Macleod, K.; McCormick, B.; McKeen, M.; Rivington, M.; Roxburgh, N.; Salt, D.; Smith, B.; Udugbezi, E.; Wang, C.; Wilkins, B. (2022) Developing agile approaches to scientific modelling in policyrelevant contexts, iEMSs 2022, 3-8 July 2022, Brussels, Belgium.
  • Polhill, J.G.; Salt, D.; Hare, M.; Macleod, K.; Athanasiadis, I.; Villa, F.; Edmonds, B.; Kocheril, G.; Bell, A. (2020) Integration first: Rethinking inter- and trans-disciplinary collaborations in modelling social-ecological systems., Tenth International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software, Brussels, Belgium, 14-18 September 2020. (Online) (Abstract)
  • Hare, M.P. (2019) Biodiversity Offset Gaming (BOff-G) – an agent-based model for assessing the risk of biodiversity offsetting policies being gamed., ESSA 15th Annual Social Simulation Conference (SSC 2019), Johannes Gutenberg, Mainz, Germany, 23-27 September 2019 (Poster abstract).
  • Hare, M. (2018) Socio-ecological modelling as a support for
    community- and ecosystems-based adaptation
    towards sustainability and wellbeing, 41st T.B. Macaulay Lecture, The Challenge of Sustainable Development, Our Dynamic Earth, Edinburgh, 3 October 2018. (Poster)
  • Hare, M.P.; Sibbald, A.R.; Edwards-Jones, G.; Law, A. (1997) The spatial integration of competing population dynamics models of red grouse using artificial life methods: Parasitic nematode and kin selection., Abstract in British Ecological Society, Winter and Annual General Meeting Programme and Abstracts.
  • Hare, M.P. (1996) Building a knowledge based artificial life simulation and experimentation laboratory for knowldge poor domains., Postgraduate Workshop on Artificial Intelligence and the Simulation of Behaviour – AISB’96, University of Sussex.